ANALISIS FAKTOR FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI IMPOR BERAS DI INDONESIA

Abstract

This research aims to determine the development of rice production, rice consumption,
international rice prices and world exchange rates, and GDP rill on rice imports in Indonesia. The
method used is the dynamic Error Correction Model (ECM). The data used in this study are
secondary data from 2003 to 2023. The calculation results show that in the short term, production
variables, international rice prices, and exchange rates have a significant and rice consumption
variables and real GDP rill have a negative and insignificant effect on rice imports. In the long term,
long-term variables, rice production, and exchange rates have a significant negative relationship,
while international rice price variables and rice consumption have a negative and insignificant
relationship, while real GDP rill variables have a positive and insignificant relationship to rice
imports.